My online book regarding Birkat HaChamah is mostly complete, one chapter of translation is in editing. Again, you can find it here.
Therein, I describe how the midrashim related to Birkat HaChamah serve as a cover for other cycles underneath it that help in understanding the course of our history.
There is another great theory that has been published, by Moshe Lerman, which shows that using these midrashim, we can actually determine approximately when and how the Jewish calendar was created. You can find the article here.
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